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Gnistan vs MPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

2 - 0
FT
MPS Logo

MPS

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Kouyate B.
75'
Zolameso G.
84' Event
Tirkkonen N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gnistan in this Kakkonen Group A 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gnistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gnistan
20%
Draws
23%
MPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gnistan lately — more wins on the board than MPS.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Gnistan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 68%
MPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan MPS
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.64 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Gnistan vs MPS
2:0
May 21, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Gnistan
0:5
Jul 23, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
Gnistan vs MPS
4:0
May 7, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Gnistan
1:0
Aug 30, 2007 Kakkonen Group A
Gnistan vs MPS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tirkkonen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

MPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 95 / 100
MPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan MPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MPS conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Gnistan's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gnistan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
26 Jul
Inter Turku
1 : 2
Gnistan
Page 1 of 8

MPS

(Away)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)