Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women

Aland United W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gnistan W play Aland United W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Aland United W are favorites here. Recently, Gnistan W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. Aland United W averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Gnistan W won 0, Aland United W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Gnistan W and 2.50 for Aland United W. This points to a Aland United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Gnistan W

15%

Draws

60%

Aland United W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Gnistan W picked up more points recently compared to Aland United W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Aland United W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gnistan W	Aland United W
Matches Played	14	29
Wins	5	14
Draws	0	2
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.43	2.28
Goals Conceded	2.21	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Gnistan W vs Aland United W

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Aland United W vs Gnistan W

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martikainen O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagstrom M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jaatinen S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 25 / 100

Aland United W 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gnistan W Aland United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aland United W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Aland United W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gnistan W attacking → ← attacking Aland United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan W scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Aland United W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Gnistan W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aland United W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 44

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HJK W	11	10	0	1	33:9	30
2	KuPS W	11	8	1	2	27:14	25
3	HPS W	11	7	2	2	17:8	23
4	Aland United W	11	6	1	4	28:16	19
5	Ilves W	11	5	0	6	19:21	15
6	Gnistan W	11	4	0	7	19:28	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	11	2	0	9	11:29	6
8	VIFK Vaasa W	11	0	0	11	5:34	0