Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gnistan W vs Aland United W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Byrne K.
8' Event
Hagstrom M.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Hagstrom M.

AI Match Summary

Aland United W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
64%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aland United W have won more games recently than Gnistan W.
  • Win probability leans Aland United W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aland United W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W Aland United W
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.26 2.34
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Aland United W
2:3
May 31, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Aland United W
1:4
Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Gnistan W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martikainen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagstrom M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaatinen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
Aland United W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aland United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.

Gnistan W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

Aland United W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Gnistan W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS Aland United W
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
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Aland United W

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)