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Gnistan W vs HPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gnistan W host HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. HPS W are expected to control this from the start. Gnistan W have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against HPS W's 2.63 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor HPS W slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (0.69 - 2.13) back HPS W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gnistan W
39%
Draws
30%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W HPS W
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 5 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Gnistan W
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 30 / 100
HPS W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan W's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

HPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Gnistan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS HPS W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
HJK W
05 Jul
VIFK Vaasa W
0 : 1
Gnistan W
27 Jun
Gnistan W
3 : 0
PK-35 Vantaa W
Page 1 of 4

HPS W

(Away)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)