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Gnistan W vs HPS W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

1 - 3
FT
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rinkinen H.
37' Event
Kraemer A.
58'
Sub
Rinkinen H. In: Reis O.
Out: Rinkinen H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Gnistan W and HPS W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
85%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • HPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HPS W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HPS W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W HPS W
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:3
Jun 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Gnistan W
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraemer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rinkinen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaaskelainen O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 22 / 100
HPS W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Gnistan W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

HPS W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

HPS W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS HPS W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
Page 1 of 5

HPS W

(Away)
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 21 18 1 2 60:18 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 21 11 5 5 31:23 38
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)