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Gnistan W vs HPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

1 - 2
FT
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Kraemer A.
35'
Olki S.
53' Event
Kataja M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
85%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HPS W lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan W.
  • HPS W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HPS W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W HPS W
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:3
Jun 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Gnistan W
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HPS W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Byrne K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kataja M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forsten A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
HPS W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Gnistan W scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

HPS W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: HPS W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS HPS W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

HPS W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)