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Gnistan W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

0 - 1
FT
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Heikkila S.
37'
Kraemer A.
46'
Sub
Noguera I. In: Byrne K.
Out: Noguera I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KuPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
85%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KuPS W lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan W.
  • Win probability leans KuPS W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KuPS W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 11%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W KuPS W
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Spenazzatto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
KuPS W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

KuPS W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: KuPS W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS KuPS W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
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KuPS W

(Away)
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)