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Stadium Background

Gnistan W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Heikkila S.
37'
Kraemer A.
46'
Sub
Noguera I. In: Byrne K.
Out: Noguera I.

AI Match Summary

KuPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gnistan W
17%
Draws
13%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gnistan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KuPS W lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan W.
  • Win probability leans Gnistan W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KuPS W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W KuPS W
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 5 20
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Spenazzatto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 65 / 100
KuPS W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

KuPS W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gnistan W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS KuPS W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
HJK W
05 Jul
VIFK Vaasa W
0 : 1
Gnistan W
27 Jun
Gnistan W
3 : 0
PK-35 Vantaa W
Page 1 of 4

KuPS W

(Away)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
7PK-35 Vantaa W14211113:367
8VIFK Vaasa W1402128:422
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)