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Gnistan W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

0 - 2
FT
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Rochi G.
43' Event
Kroger A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
69%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • KuPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KuPS W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • KuPS W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KuPS W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KuPS W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 11%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W KuPS W
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.26 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kroger A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
KuPS W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

KuPS W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gnistan W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS KuPS W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

KuPS W

(Away)
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1