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Gnistan W vs PK-35 Vantaa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Leppioja J.
40' Event
Karkkainen S.
46'
Sub
Koso N. In: Huttunen J.
Out: Koso N.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between Gnistan W and PK-35 Vantaa W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gnistan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
20%
Draws
80%
PK-35 Vantaa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PK-35 Vantaa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • PK-35 Vantaa W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • PK-35 Vantaa W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W PK-35 Vantaa W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 1 3
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.2 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.36 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
3:0
Apr 24, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Gnistan W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leppioja J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karkkainen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
PK-35 Vantaa W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W PK-35 Vantaa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Vantaa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PK-35 Vantaa W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Gnistan W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS PK-35 Vantaa W
1.13 Goals Scored 3
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

PK-35 Vantaa W

(Away)
02 Oct
PK-35 Vantaa W
1 : 1
Honka W
26 Sept
HJS W
0 : 10
PK-35 Vantaa W
17 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
6 : 0
JyPK W
12 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
5 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)