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Gnistan W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gnistan W play PK-35 Vantaa W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Gnistan W are favorites here. Recently, Gnistan W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. PK-35 Vantaa W averaged 2.34 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, Gnistan W won 2, PK-35 Vantaa W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Gnistan W and 1.00 for PK-35 Vantaa W. This points to a Gnistan W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gnistan W
25%
Draws
15%
PK-35 Vantaa W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gnistan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Gnistan W picked up more points recently compared to PK-35 Vantaa W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 23%
PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W PK-35 Vantaa W
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.43 2.34
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
3:0
Apr 24, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs Gnistan W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leppioja J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karkkainen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 59 / 100
PK-35 Vantaa W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W PK-35 Vantaa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gnistan W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gnistan W attacking → ← attacking PK-35 Vantaa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan W scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

PK-35 Vantaa W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gnistan W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

PK-35 Vantaa W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 27
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1HJK W11100133:930
2KuPS W1181227:1425
3HPS W1172217:823
4Aland United W1161428:1619
5Ilves W1150619:2115
6Gnistan W1140719:2812
7PK-35 Vantaa W1120911:296
8VIFK Vaasa W1100115:340