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Stadium Background

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 vs Honka Akatemia

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Aittokoski I.
29' Event
Hyvonen M.
34' Event
Opoku S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Honka Akatemia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
15%
Draws
57%
Honka Akatemia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honka Akatemia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Honka Akatemia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Honka Akatemia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Honka Akatemia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honka Akatemia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43.2%
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Honka Akatemia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Honka Akatemia
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.4 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Suomen Cup
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 vs Honka Akatemia
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petaja I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wartiovaara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Honka Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Aittokoski I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hyvonen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 12 / 100
Honka Akatemia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Honka Akatemia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honka Akatemia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan/Ogeli 2's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Honka Akatemia let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Honka Akatemia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Honka Akatemia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan/Ogeli 2

(Home)
30 Apr
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
2 : 4
Honka Akatemia
20 Feb
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
2 : 3
EPS
08 Mar
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
1 : 7
Toolon Taisto
15 Mar
HJK-Toolo
3 : 0
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
22 Feb
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
2 : 0
HIFK III

Honka Akatemia

(Away)
07 Oct
PIF Pargas
2 : 3
Honka Akatemia
01 Oct
Honka Akatemia
1 : 3
Pallo-Iirot
23 Sept
Ilves 2
0 : 2
Honka Akatemia
16 Sept
Honka Akatemia
0 : 1
EPS
01 Sept
Honka Akatemia
3 : 4
GrIFK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti 3
Toukolan Teras 2
VJS 2
Kiffen 1
Kuopion Elo 3
Vaajakoski 1
STPS 0
PEPO 6
Fish United 0
Sporting Kristina 5
Tove 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Toolon Vesa 0
PuiU Helsinki 5
FC Futura 3
NJS 2
ACF 1
NoPS 5
TPS 0
Ilves 2
Dons 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 2
JaPS 2 1
KaPa 4
Toukolan Teras 2 0
HPS 6
Polin Pallo 0
Atlantis 12
SJK U21 1
KePS 3
Jaro 1
KPV Kokkola 2
Lahti/69 0
MyPa 1
LehPa Joensuu 0
KTP 2
Poxyt 0
GrIFK 3
VJS 2 1
Gnistan 5
NuPS 2
EsPa 1
LPS 1
JaPS 3
Ylojarvi United 0
KaaPo 4
Abo IFK 0
Ekenas IF 4
SJK Akatemia 1
SJK 5
TBD -
AC Oulu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haka -
SJK-j Apollo 7
PonPa 1
Tervarit 0
VPS 2
OLS Oulu 3
JS Hercules 0
OTP 4
GBK Kokkola 3
HooGee 7
PPS/Old Stars 4
ToBK 1
Malmin Ponnistajat 2
Ekenas IF 2 3
PP-70 Tampere 2
MuSa 1
SalPa 2
TPS 3 0
Tampere Utd 5
TBD -
Inter Turku -
FC Inter Turku 2 3
Ilves 2 0
Lasten 1
PIF Pargas 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
JaPS/M35 1
KJP Kouvola 0
PK-37 1
Lahden Reipas 3
Atletico Malmi 2
FC Kirkkonummi 1
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 2
Honka Akatemia 4
Jazz Pori 4
Ilves-Kissat 2
AC Estudiantes 0
HJS 4
Sisu 0
VIFK 2
HauPa 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
EuPa 1
TuRaKe 2
VG-62 Naantali 3
Haka 2 2
I-HK 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 13
KoiPS 1
Mariehamn 4
Kultsu Joutseno 1
Mikkelin 5
Edustus IPS 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Kyparamaki 3
NiemU 1
Jippo 1
Lahti 2
Toolon Taisto 1
EPS 7
PK-35 2
HIFK 3
1/32-finals
PPJ/Ruoholahti 0
VJS 3
Kuopion Elo 1
PEPO 5
Sporting Kristina 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
PuiU Helsinki 0
FC Futura 1
NoPS 1
Ilves 5
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
KaPa 7
HPS 0
Atlantis 6
KePS 1
KPV Kokkola 2
MyPa 0
KTP 14
GrIFK 2
Gnistan 3
NuPS 1
JaPS 2
KaaPo 1
Ekenas IF 4
SJK 1
AC Oulu 4
TBD -
Haka -
SJK-j Apollo 0
VPS 11
OLS Oulu 2
OTP 3
HooGee 2
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Ekenas IF 2 0
SalPa 2
Tampere Utd 0
Inter Turku 3
FC Inter Turku 2 1
PIF Pargas 0
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Honka -
JaPS/M35 0
Lahden Reipas 5
Atletico Malmi 2
Honka Akatemia 4
Jazz Pori 4
HJS 1
VIFK 4
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TuRaKe 1
VG-62 Naantali 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 2
TBD -
KuPS -
Kyparamaki 0
Lahti 1
EPS 1
HIFK 4
1/16-finals
VJS 3
PEPO 2
Pallo-Iirot 5
FC Futura 1
Ilves 3
KaPa 1
Atlantis 0
KPV Kokkola 1
KTP 2
Gnistan 1
JaPS 0
Ekenas IF 1
AC Oulu 2
Haka 1
VPS 3
OTP 1
HooGee 0
SalPa 6
Inter Turku 8
FC Inter Turku 2 0
HJK 1
Honka 2
Lahden Reipas 2
Honka Akatemia 3
Jazz Pori 0
VIFK 2
TuRaKe 0
Mariehamn 7
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
KuPS 2
Lahti 0
HIFK 1
1/8-finals
VJS 2
Pallo-Iirot 1
Ilves 4
KPV Kokkola 1
KTP 3
Ekenas IF 0
AC Oulu 1
VPS 0
SalPa 1
Inter Turku 0
Honka 5
Honka Akatemia 1
VIFK 0
Mariehamn 1
KuPS 1
HIFK 0
Quarter-finals
VJS 0
Ilves 4
KTP 1
AC Oulu 2
SalPa 1
Honka 3
Mariehamn 2
KuPS 1
Semi-finals
Ilves 1
AC Oulu 0
Honka 1
Mariehamn 0
Final
Ilves 2
Honka 1