Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 vs Toolon Taisto

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pitkanen M.
21' Event
Lassila H.
38' Event
Pesonen A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-7, with Toolon Taisto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
15%
Draws
57%
Toolon Taisto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toolon Taisto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Toolon Taisto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Toolon Taisto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Toolon Taisto, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Toolon Taisto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Toolon Taisto
Matches Played 5 10
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.4 2
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 2.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Suomen Cup
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 vs Toolon Taisto
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitkanen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.85

Toolon Taisto Compare

Top Goalscorer Lassila H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kortelainen J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.4
Avg xA / game 1.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 29 / 100
Toolon Taisto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Toolon Taisto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan/Ogeli 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gnistan/Ogeli 2 scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Toolon Taisto has conceded goals in 100% of their last 10 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Toolon Taisto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan/Ogeli 2 VS Toolon Taisto
1.4 Goals Scored 1.88
3.4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan/Ogeli 2

(Home)
30 Apr
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
2 : 4
Honka Akatemia
20 Feb
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
2 : 3
EPS
08 Mar
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
1 : 7
Toolon Taisto
15 Mar
HJK-Toolo
3 : 0
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
22 Feb
Gnistan/Ogeli 2
2 : 0
HIFK III

Toolon Taisto

(Away)
28 Apr
Toolon Taisto
1 : 9
JaPS
19 Apr
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari
3 : 4
Toolon Taisto
09 Apr
Toolon Taisto
1 : 2
JaPS 2
08 May
Toolon Taisto
1 : 2
KaPa
28 Apr
Polin Pallo
1 : 5
Toolon Taisto
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Mariehamn -
TBD -
NePa 1
Tamu-K 5
HPS 4
Orimattilan Pedot 1
HIFK 2 0
EsPa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
PS Kemi 2
Spartak Kajaani 0
KPS 1
GBK Kokkola 7
Jippo 3
MyPa 0
PK-37 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
VPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OTP 2
KPV Kokkola II 0
VIFK 1
AC Oulu 3
Haka 5
Pallo-Iirot 2
Gnistan/Ogeli 2 1
Toolon Taisto 7
PaiHa 2
Peimari United 1
Hieho 0
Honka 12
Ekenas IF 5
NJS 0
FC Futura 1
Atlantis 3
SAPA 2
Espoo 1
Harma 0
MuSa 3
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
Lahti/69 1
KaPa 2
Tuusulan Palloseura 2
JaPS 0
Jokerit FC 1
Viikingit 2 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jazz Pori 6
Abo IFK 2
TPV 2
TPS 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RoPS Rovaniemi -
KPV Kokkola 3
JBK 0
TBD -
Jaro -
SiPS 2
Jamsankosken Ilves 0
Tervarit-j Jupa 1
Kajaanin Haka 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HIFK -
Keski-Uusimaa 5
PK-35/VJS 0
FC Kontu 1
FC Myllypuro 6
KTP -
TBD -
Virky 1
Mikkelin 2
Gnistan 4
SUMU 0
PEF 0
Poxyt 6
Legirus Inter 5
RiPS 0
Allianssi Vantaa 0
BK-46 1
Lahti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JanPa 1
Jomala IK 0
NuPS 1
Atletico Malmi 3
SJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PEPO 3
Vaajakoski 1
TBD -
KuPS -
1/32-finals
Mariehamn 12
Tamu-K 0
HPS 0
EsPa 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
PS Kemi 4
GBK Kokkola 1
Jippo 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
VPS -
TBD -
OTP 0
AC Oulu 2
Haka 1
Toolon Taisto 0
PaiHa 0
Honka 4
Ekenas IF 4
Atlantis 1
SAPA 0
MuSa 1
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 2
KaPa 1
Tuusulan Palloseura 2
Viikingit 2 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Jazz Pori 0
TPS 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RoPS Rovaniemi -
KPV Kokkola 3
Jaro 0
SiPS 0
Kajaanin Haka 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HIFK -
Keski-Uusimaa 1
FC Myllypuro 0
KTP 2
Mikkelin 3
Gnistan 2
Poxyt 1
Legirus Inter 0
BK-46 4
Lahti -
TBD -
JanPa 0
Atletico Malmi 5
SJK -
TBD -
PEPO 0
KuPS 6
1/16-finals
Mariehamn 5
EsPa 0
TBD -
Ilves -
PS Kemi 1
JJK Jyvaskyla 0
VPS 1
AC Oulu 2
Haka 3
Honka 2
Ekenas IF 1
MuSa 2
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 7
Viikingit 2 1
TBD -
HJK -
Inter Turku 3
TPS 1
TBD -
RoPS Rovaniemi -
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
TBD -
HIFK -
Keski-Uusimaa 2
Mikkelin 1
Gnistan 1
BK-46 2
Lahti 2
Atletico Malmi 0
SJK 1
KuPS 2
1/8-finals
Mariehamn 2
Ilves 0
PS Kemi 3
AC Oulu 4
Haka 3
MuSa 2
PK-35 Vantaa ""Inactive" 1
HJK 2
Inter Turku 7
RoPS Rovaniemi 3
KPV Kokkola 0
HIFK 2
Keski-Uusimaa 4
BK-46 1
Lahti 1
KuPS 2
Quarter-finals
Mariehamn 4
AC Oulu 1
Haka 1
HJK 3
Inter Turku 2
HIFK 0
Keski-Uusimaa 0
KuPS 4
Semi-finals
Mariehamn 5
HJK 1
Inter Turku 2
KuPS 1
Final
Mariehamn 2
Inter Turku 1