Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Haraszkiewicz P.
66' Event
Zieba D.
Own Goal
68'
Staszkowian K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Goczalkowice Zdroj and Carina Gubin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carina Gubin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
17%
Draws
70%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Goczalkowice Zdroj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carina Gubin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 11%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goczalkowice Zdroj Carina Gubin
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Carina Gubin
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Carina Gubin
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:3
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraszkiewicz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goczalkowice Zdroj 14 / 100
Carina Gubin 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goczalkowice Zdroj Carina Gubin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goczalkowice Zdroj scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Goczalkowice Zdroj has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goczalkowice Zdroj VS Carina Gubin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057