Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Starowice Dolne

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Zagiel F.
67' Event
Fidziukiewicz M.
74' Event
Sluga M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
15%
Draws
28%
Starowice Dolne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goczalkowice Zdroj lately — more wins on the board than Starowice Dolne.
  • Goczalkowice Zdroj are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 68%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goczalkowice Zdroj Starowice Dolne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Starowice Dolne
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:3
May 29, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Starowice Dolne
3:0
Nov 11, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagiel F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fidziukiewicz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Starowice Dolne Compare

Top Goalscorer Sluga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skowron M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goczalkowice Zdroj 95 / 100
Starowice Dolne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goczalkowice Zdroj Starowice Dolne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goczalkowice Zdroj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starowice Dolne has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Difficult form: Starowice Dolne registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Goczalkowice Zdroj scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goczalkowice Zdroj VS Starowice Dolne
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Home)
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
05 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 0
Kluczbork
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Starowice Dolne

(Away)
18 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Starowice Dolne
30 May
Legnica II
2 : 1
Starowice Dolne
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Zielona Gora
5 : 1
Starowice Dolne
13 May
Starowice Dolne
2 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zielona Gora 34 21 10 3 77:17 73
2 Polkowice 34 20 7 7 64:42 67
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 53:34 62
4 Skra Czestochowa 34 17 8 9 68:56 59
5 Zaglebie II 34 17 6 11 77:61 57
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 7 12 67:43 52
8 Warta Gorzow 34 15 7 12 54:47 52
9 Gornik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 73:44 51
10 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 7 13 49:57 49
11 Woliborz 34 13 9 12 48:49 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 50:51 47
13 Legnica II 34 13 7 14 63:58 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 12 9 13 57:56 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 51:58 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 33:81 27
17 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 5 4 25 28:77 19
18 Stal Jasien 34 2 1 31 21:105 7
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)