Sport Picks
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III 
Match Events
3'
3'
Dzida T.
51'
51'
Niedbala J.
60'
60'
Niedbala J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group III game between Goczalkowice Zdroj and Warta Gorzow finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goczalkowice Zdroj.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Warta Gorzow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Goczalkowice Zdroj are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Goczalkowice Zdroj have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 20%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Goczalkowice Zdroj | Warta Gorzow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzow
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare
Top Goalscorer Niedbala J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dzida T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Warta Gorzow Compare
Top Goalscorer Rybicki K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Goczalkowice Zdroj 76 / 100
Warta Gorzow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Goczalkowice Zdroj Warta Gorzow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Goczalkowice Zdroj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Warta Gorzow conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Goczalkowice Zdroj scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Goczalkowice Zdroj has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Goczalkowice Zdroj VS Warta Gorzow
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Goczalkowice Zdroj
(Home) 03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1 ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0 Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0 Goczalkowice Zdroj
05 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 0 Kluczbork
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1 ROW Rybnik
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
05 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 0 Kluczbork
22 Aug
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 0 Polonia Nysa
15 Aug
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 2 Sleza Wroclaw
Page 1 of 4
Warta Gorzow
(Away) 03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1 Sleza Wroclaw
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0 Brzeg
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1 Warta Gorzow
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
22 Aug
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1 Warta Gorzow
15 Aug
Barycz Sulow
2 : 2 Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Zaglebie II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Bytom Odrzanski | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sulow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 17 |
| 8 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 17 |
| 9 | Stilon Gorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 10 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzow | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 13 | Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Sleza Wroclaw | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:26 | 10 |
| 16 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
