Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GOES vs VV Zwaluwen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Zwaluwen in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Zwaluwen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
GOES
15%
Draws
48%
VV Zwaluwen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Zwaluwen lately — more wins on the board than GOES.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on VV Zwaluwen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors VV Zwaluwen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOES VV Zwaluwen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
GOES vs VV Zwaluwen
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs GOES
0:2
Aug 24, 2011 KNVB Beker
GOES vs VV Zwaluwen
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOES 10 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOES VV Zwaluwen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

GOES found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: VV Zwaluwen conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

GOES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GOES VS VV Zwaluwen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GOES

(Home)
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1
VV Noordwijk
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
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VV Zwaluwen

(Away)
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
RKSV UDI 19
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7
VV Zwaluwen
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)