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Goianesia vs Bom Jesus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goianesia host Bom Jesus in the Goiano 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Goianesia at 1.11 goals for, 1.32 against; Bom Jesus at 2 for, 0.67 against. Past meetings favor Goianesia slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Bom Jesus. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Goianesia
35%
Draws
38%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bom Jesus come out ahead of Goianesia on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Goianesia Clean Sheet 20%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goianesia Bom Jesus
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.11 2
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Goianesia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goianesia 32 / 100
Bom Jesus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goianesia Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goianesia scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Goianesia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bom Jesus conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Goianesia VS Bom Jesus
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goianesia

(Home)
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
27 Sept
Goianesia
0 : 1
Mineiros
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
19 Sept
Trindade
1 : 0
Goianesia
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Bom Jesus

(Away)
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
13 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 16 9 5 2 25:11 32
2 Bom Jesus 16 7 7 2 21:13 28
3 Goianesia 16 7 6 3 21:18 27
4 Mineiros 16 7 4 5 17:14 25
5 Morrinhos 16 6 4 6 22:21 22
6 Goiania 16 4 8 4 13:14 20
7 Tupy FC 16 4 6 6 14:16 18
8 Sao Luis 16 3 7 6 18:23 16
9 Trindade 16 2 6 8 13:23 12
10 Gremio Anapolis 16 2 5 9 16:27 11
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)