Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goianesia vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Goianesia Logo

Goianesia

2 - 1
FT
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Cassius
Own Goal
70' Event
Rodrigues A.
90' Event
Adailson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Goianesia in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goianesia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Goianesia
35%
Draws
30%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Morrinhos average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Goianesia's 1.03.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Goianesia Clean Sheet 68%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goianesia Morrinhos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Goianesia
1:1
Aug 12, 2026 Goiano 2
Goianesia vs Morrinhos
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goianesia
0:1
Jan 18, 2023 Goiano
Goianesia vs Morrinhos
2:1
Feb 25, 2022 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goianesia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goianesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Adailson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goianesia 41 / 100
Morrinhos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goianesia Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goianesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goianesia's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Morrinhos conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Goianesia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goianesia VS Morrinhos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goianesia

(Home)
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
19 Sept
Trindade
1 : 0
Goianesia
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
09 Sept
Goiania
2 : 3
Goianesia
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
Page 1 of 6

Morrinhos

(Away)
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 14 8 4 2 21:8 28
2 Bom Jesus 14 6 6 2 17:11 24
3 Goianesia 14 6 6 2 18:16 24
4 Morrinhos 14 5 4 5 20:19 19
5 Mineiros 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Goiania 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Tupy FC 14 4 5 5 12:12 17
8 Sao Luis 14 3 6 5 16:20 15
9 Gremio Anapolis 14 2 5 7 15:23 11
10 Trindade 14 1 6 7 11:21 9
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)