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Goiania vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Erick Salles
66' Event
Flavio
84' Event
Vitinho

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Goiania and Morrinhos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goiania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Goiania
35%
Draws
41%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Morrinhos come out ahead of Goiania on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Goiania Clean Sheet 18%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goiania Morrinhos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Goiano 2
Goiania vs Morrinhos
2:1
Aug 16, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Goiania
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goiania
1:1
Jan 25, 2023 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goiania
4:0
Nov 14, 2021 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Goiania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goiania Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Salles
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flavio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goiania 32 / 100
Morrinhos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goiania Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morrinhos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Goiania stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Goiania scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goiania VS Morrinhos
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goiania

(Home)
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Goiania
2 : 3
Goianesia
05 Sept
Trindade
0 : 0
Goiania
29 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Goiania
Page 1 of 6

Morrinhos

(Away)
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
30 Aug
Morrinhos
1 : 3
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 14 8 4 2 21:8 28
2 Bom Jesus 14 6 6 2 17:11 24
3 Goianesia 14 6 6 2 18:16 24
4 Morrinhos 14 5 4 5 20:19 19
5 Mineiros 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Goiania 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Tupy FC 14 4 5 5 12:12 17
8 Sao Luis 14 3 6 5 16:20 15
9 Gremio Anapolis 14 2 5 7 15:23 11
10 Trindade 14 1 6 7 11:21 9
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)