Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goias U20 vs Aparecida EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goias U20 play Aparecida EC U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Goias U20 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Aparecida EC U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Goias U20 won 2, Aparecida EC U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Goias U20 and 0.88 for Aparecida EC U20. This points to a Goias U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Goias U20
18%
Draws
31%
Aparecida EC U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Goias U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Goias U20 picked up more points recently compared to Aparecida EC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Goias U20 Clean Sheet 25%
Aparecida EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias U20 Aparecida EC U20
Matches Played 43 15
Wins 25 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Goiano U20
Goias U20 vs Aparecida EC U20
2:1
May 18, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecida EC U20 vs Goias U20
2:0
May 11, 2024 Goiano U20
Goias U20 vs Aparecida EC U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goias U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Willie
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penido M. N. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aparecida EC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias U20 51 / 100
Aparecida EC U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias U20 Aparecida EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Goias U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Goias U20 attacking → ← attacking Aparecida EC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias U20 scored in 72% of their last 43 games.

Aparecida EC U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Goias U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aparecida EC U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

82 Points in last 5 19
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC U201173127:1124
2Goias U201164126:1022
3Atletico GO U201164123:922
4Trindade U201153316:1418
5Aparecidense U201144315:1416
6Guanabara City U201136219:1615
7Aparecida EC U201136212:1215
8Jataiense U201141611:2213
9Cerrado EC U201124510:1510
10Royal U20112367:169
11Guapo M19 U201114613:197
12Itaberai U20111289:305