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Goias U20 vs Aparecidense U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mikel A. S.
45' Event
Mikel A. S.
58' Event
Felipe Pitaluga

AI Match Summary

Goias U20 in this Goiano U20 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Goias U20
15%
Draws
28%
Aparecidense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goias U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goias U20 lately — more wins on the board than Aparecidense U20.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Goias U20 taking it.
  • Goias U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Goias U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Goias U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Goias U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Aparecidense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias U20 Aparecidense U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.69 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Goiano U20
Aparecidense U20 vs Goias U20
0:1
May 17, 2025 Goiano U20
Goias U20 vs Aparecidense U20
3:2
May 10, 2025 Goiano U20
Aparecidense U20 vs Goias U20
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Goiano U20
Goias U20 vs Aparecidense U20
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Goiano U20
Aparecidense U20 vs Goias U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goias U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikel A. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jean Carlos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Aparecidense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Pitaluga
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias U20 85 / 100
Aparecidense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias U20 Aparecidense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecidense U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Goias U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Goias U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goias U20 VS Aparecidense U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Goias U20
4 : 2
Trindade U20
23 Jul
Ceara U20
1 : 2
Goias U20
01 Jul
Goias U20
2 : 1
CRB U20
16 Jun
Atletico GO U20
0 : 1
Goias U20
30 May
Cerrado EC U20
2 : 1
Goias U20
Page 1 of 7

Aparecidense U20

(Away)
26 May
Inhumas U20
0 : 1
Aparecidense U20
20 May
Aparecidense U20
2 : 1
Inhumas U20
16 May
Aparecidense U20
0 : 1
Goias U20
09 May
Cerrado EC U20
4 : 0
Aparecidense U20
02 May
Aparecidense U20
0 : 4
Anapolis U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City U20 3
Cerrado EC U20 2
Vila Nova FC U20 5
Gremio Anapolis U20 2
Goias U20 5
Aparecidense U20 3
Trindade U20 1
Atletico GO U20 0
Semi-finals
Guanabara City U20 2
Vila Nova FC U20 0
Goias U20 3
Trindade U20 4
Final
Guanabara City U20 1
Trindade U20 3