Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goias vs ABECAT Ouvidorense

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio da Serrinha
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goias play ABECAT Ouvidorense in the Goiano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Goias averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. ABECAT Ouvidorense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Goias won 1, ABECAT Ouvidorense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 29, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.71 for Goias and 1.27 for ABECAT Ouvidorense. This points to a Goias double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Goias
29%
Draws
27%
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Goias picked up more points recently compared to ABECAT Ouvidorense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.71 vs 1.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Goias Clean Sheet 19%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias ABECAT Ouvidorense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Goiano
Goias vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Goiano
Goias vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

ABECAT Ouvidorense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 43 / 100
ABECAT Ouvidorense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias ABECAT Ouvidorense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Goias or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Goias attacking → ← attacking ABECAT Ouvidorense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

ABECAT Ouvidorense let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Goias went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ABECAT Ouvidorense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 39
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.17
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Goias862014:120
2Vila Nova FC860218:818
3Jataiense842213:914
4Atletico GO842211:814
5ABECAT Ouvidorense842211:814
6Anapolina840410:1212
7Anapolis832311:1211
8CRAC82335:69
9Goiatuba EC82158:157
10Aparecidense813410:146
11Centro Oeste81344:156
12Inhumas80264:112