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Goias vs Nautico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goias host Nautico in the Serie B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Goias have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Nautico's 1.24 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Goias slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.44) back Goias to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Goias
20%
Draws
29%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goias come out ahead of Nautico on wins alone.
  • Model gives Goias a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Goias Clean Sheet 16%
Nautico Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Nautico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Goias
0:1
Oct 6, 2021 Serie B
Nautico vs Goias
3:2
Jul 10, 2021 Serie B
Goias vs Nautico
0:1
Oct 7, 2017 Serie B
Goias vs Nautico
2:0
Jun 20, 2017 Serie B
Nautico vs Goias
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 48 / 100
Nautico 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goias scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nautico conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Goias stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Nautico
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias

(Home)
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
26 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Atletico GO
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
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Nautico

(Away)
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)