Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goiatuba EC host Ferroviario in the Serie D. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Goiatuba EC at 0.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Ferroviario at 1.5 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Goiatuba EC slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 1.06, favoring Ferroviario. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Goiatuba EC
44%
Draws
20%
Ferroviario
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario come out ahead of Goiatuba EC on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Goiatuba EC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 22%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goiatuba EC Ferroviario
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Goiatuba EC
0-1
Mar 12, 2025 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Goiatuba EC
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario
3-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goiatuba EC 37 / 100
Ferroviario 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goiatuba EC Ferroviario

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goiatuba EC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Goiatuba EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goiatuba EC VS Ferroviario
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC-
Ferroviario-
America RN-
Gama-
Luverdense-
ABC-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
Iguatu-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Treze PB-
Uberlandia-
Portuguesa-
Sao Luiz-
CSA-
Cianorte-
ASA-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-