Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa, Goiatuba
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ferreira J.
66' Event
Thalles
78' Event
Gui Sales

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Goiatuba EC
30%
Draws
33%
Ferroviario
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goiatuba EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario come out ahead of Goiatuba EC on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Goiatuba EC taking it.
  • Ferroviario arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Goiatuba EC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goiatuba EC Ferroviario
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Goiatuba EC
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs Ferroviario
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goiatuba EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thalles
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ferroviario Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goiatuba EC 50 / 100
Ferroviario 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goiatuba EC Ferroviario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goiatuba EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goiatuba EC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Goiatuba EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Goiatuba EC VS Ferroviario
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Goiatuba EC

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0
ASA
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario

(Away)
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0
Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Central SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3