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Gol Reyhan Alborz vs Shahin Bushehr

Iran Iran

Division 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gol Reyhan Alborz play Shahin Bushehr in the Division 1 2020/2021. Shahin Bushehr are favorites here. Recently, Gol Reyhan Alborz averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Shahin Bushehr averaged 0.56 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Gol Reyhan Alborz won 0, Shahin Bushehr won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Gol Reyhan Alborz and 0.68 for Shahin Bushehr. This points to a Shahin Bushehr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gol Reyhan Alborz
15%
Draws
56%
Shahin Bushehr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shahin Bushehr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Gol Reyhan Alborz picked up more points recently compared to Shahin Bushehr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.68 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Gol Reyhan Alborz Clean Sheet 28%
Shahin Bushehr Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gol Reyhan Alborz Shahin Bushehr
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.8 0.56
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 Azadegan League
Gol Reyhan Alborz vs Shahin Bushehr
0:3
Feb 20, 2021 Azadegan League
Shahin Bushehr vs Gol Reyhan Alborz
2:1
Feb 19, 2019 Azadegan League
Gol Reyhan Alborz vs Shahin Bushehr
1:2
Oct 11, 2018 Azadegan League
Shahin Bushehr vs Gol Reyhan Alborz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gol Reyhan Alborz Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shahin Bushehr Compare

Top Goalscorer Shabanloo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saremi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gol Reyhan Alborz 32 / 100
Shahin Bushehr 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gol Reyhan Alborz Shahin Bushehr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shahin Bushehr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shahin Bushehr & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gol Reyhan Alborz attacking → ← attacking Shahin Bushehr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gol Reyhan Alborz scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Shahin Bushehr let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gol Reyhan Alborz went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shahin Bushehr lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fajr Sepasi341612641:2160
2Havadar SC34179842:2660
3Baderan Tehran341861041:2860
4Mes Kerman341671132:2355
5Shahin Bushehr341314727:2053
6Esteghlal Khuzestan341313831:2052
7Kheybar Khorramabad341213945:2649
8Khoosheh Talai341213934:2749
9Arman Gohar341471347:4449
10Pars Janoobi Jam341391238:3448
11Malavan3412101230:3046
12Rayka Babol3411101333:3843
13Esteghlal Molasani3410121239:4342
14Qashqai Shiraz3410121229:3542
15Shahrdari Astara341251735:4341
16Chooka Talesh347131429:4434
17Navad Urmia34691914:3627
18Gol Reyhan Alborz34462425:7418