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Gold Coast City vs Brisbane Roar U21

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Murphy E.
9' Event
Smith S.
23' Event
Boutoubia J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland 2017 game between Gold Coast City and Brisbane Roar U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gold Coast City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Gold Coast City
17%
Draws
70%
Brisbane Roar U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brisbane Roar U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Gold Coast City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brisbane Roar U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gold Coast City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gold Coast City Clean Sheet 18%
Brisbane Roar U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast City Brisbane Roar U21
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 20 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2017 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs Brisbane Roar U21
4:0
Apr 22, 2017 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U21 vs Gold Coast City
1:4
Aug 14, 2016 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs Brisbane Roar U21
2:1
May 14, 2016 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U21 vs Gold Coast City
1:1
Aug 26, 2015 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U21 vs Gold Coast City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast City Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Murphy E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Brisbane Roar U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast City 15 / 100
Brisbane Roar U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast City Brisbane Roar U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Brisbane Roar U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Brisbane Roar U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brisbane Roar U21
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast City

(Home)
20 Sept
Gold Coast City
0 : 6
South Melbourne
26 Aug
Gold Coast City
0 : 3
Western Pride
23 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 1
Gold Coast City
19 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
3 : 0
Gold Coast City
12 Aug
Gold Coast City
0 : 1
Western Pride
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar U21

(Away)
26 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 2
Brisbane Roar U21
20 Aug
Redlands
3 : 0
Brisbane Roar U21
13 Aug
Brisbane Roar U21
0 : 3
Moreton Bay Utd
30 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 3
Brisbane Roar U21
21 Jul
Brisbane Roar U21
2 : 3
Gold Coast Knights SC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers22163368:2151
2Gold Coast City22153459:2548
3Western Pride22125573:2741
4Moreton Bay Utd22125549:2741
5Olympic FC22124657:2740
6Brisbane City22121951:3237
7Cairns2294938:3731
8Northern Fury22741136:5525
9Redlands22641230:5322
10SWQ Thunder22621426:5120
11Brisbane Roar U2122531433:6618
12Sunshine Coast22022018:1172
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)