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Gold Coast City vs North Queensland

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Litfin B.
63' Event
Hofmann R.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Litfin B.

AI Match Summary

Gold Coast City in this NPL Queensland 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gold Coast City
33%
Draws
27%
North Queensland
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gold Coast City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast City have won more games recently than North Queensland.
  • Model gives Gold Coast City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gold Coast City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Gold Coast City Clean Sheet 68%
North Queensland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast City North Queensland
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 3
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 3.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2016 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs North Queensland
4:0
Apr 9, 2016 NPL Queensland
North Queensland vs Gold Coast City
2:3
Jun 20, 2015 NPL Queensland
North Queensland vs Gold Coast City
0:3
Mar 15, 2015 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs North Queensland
2:1
Jun 29, 2014 NPL Queensland
North Queensland vs Gold Coast City
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast City Compare

Top Goalscorer Litfin B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lampard J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

North Queensland Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast City 50 / 100
North Queensland 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast City North Queensland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast City's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

North Queensland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

North Queensland lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast City VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers22145351:1947
2Gold Coast City22127358:2943
3Cairns22133642:2742
4Redlands22121941:3637
5Brisbane City2298535:2835
6Olympic FC221111045:4634
7Moreton Bay Utd2278736:3229
8SWQ Thunder22821238:5726
9Brisbane Roar U2122741130:3825
10Western Pride22661038:4324
11Sunshine Coast22731232:4524
12North Queensland22041822:734