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Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Lucas C.
68' Event
Russell J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Gold Coast Knights SC and Gold Coast Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gold Coast Knights SC
30%
Draws
41%
Gold Coast Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gold Coast Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Gold Coast Utd haven't matched Gold Coast Knights SC's recent run of results.
  • Gold Coast Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 20%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC Gold Coast Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC
0:1
May 24, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Russell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gold Coast Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC 24 / 100
Gold Coast Utd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC Gold Coast Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gold Coast Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast Utd has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Gold Coast Knights SC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gold Coast Knights SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC VS Gold Coast Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast Knights SC

(Home)
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
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Gold Coast Utd

(Away)
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0
Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)