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Gold Coast Knights SC vs Peninsula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre, Carrara
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Match Events

22' Event
Russell J.
33' Event
Miyazawa H.
38' Event
Inman B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Gold Coast Knights SC and Peninsula finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gold Coast Knights SC
35%
Draws
32%
Peninsula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Peninsula's 1.94 goals per match outpaces what Gold Coast Knights SC have produced (1.85).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 15%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC Peninsula
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Peninsula
2:2
May 15, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Knights SC
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Peninsula
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Knights SC
2:0
Jun 8, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Peninsula
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Russell J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inman B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyazawa H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC 30 / 100
Peninsula 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC Peninsula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gold Coast Knights SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast Knights SC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Peninsula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Gold Coast Knights SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC VS Peninsula
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast Knights SC

(Home)
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
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Peninsula

(Away)
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)