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Gold Coast Knights SC vs Rochedale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre, Carrara
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Match Events

33' Event
Kljajic O.
90' Event
Martin T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gold Coast Knights SC
20%
Draws
44%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rochedale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gold Coast Knights SC lately — more wins on the board than Rochedale.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 16%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC Rochedale
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.85 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC
4:1
Apr 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Rochedale
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:2
Mar 15, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Rochedale
2:0
Aug 26, 2023 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC 30 / 100
Rochedale 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gold Coast Knights SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Gold Coast Knights SC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gold Coast Knights SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC VS Rochedale
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast Knights SC

(Home)
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
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Rochedale

(Away)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)