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Gold Coast U23 vs Rochedale U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gold Coast U23
15%
Draws
42%
Rochedale U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gold Coast U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rochedale U23 have won more games recently than Gold Coast U23.
  • Gold Coast U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gold Coast U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Rochedale U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast U23 Rochedale U23
Matches Played 22 24
Wins 13 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.36 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Gold Coast U23 vs Rochedale U23
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Rochedale U23 vs Gold Coast U23
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast U23 36 / 100
Rochedale U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast U23 Rochedale U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gold Coast U23 scored in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Recent resilience: Gold Coast U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rochedale U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast U23 VS Rochedale U23
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast U23

(Home)
16 Aug
Gold Coast U23
4 : 3
Eastern Suburbs U23
08 Aug
Brisbane City U23
0 : 1
Gold Coast U23
01 Aug
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2 : 4
Gold Coast U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
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Rochedale U23

(Away)
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 3
Rochedale U23
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC U23
1 : 4
Rochedale U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)