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Golden Star vs Golden Lion

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Golden Star play Golden Lion in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. It looks like a close match. Recently, Golden Star averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Golden Lion averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Golden Star won 1, Golden Lion won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Golden Star and 1.38 for Golden Lion. This points to a Golden Lion double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Golden Star
15%
Draws
53%
Golden Lion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Golden Lion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Golden Star picked up more points recently compared to Golden Lion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Golden Star Clean Sheet 17%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Star Golden Lion
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.23 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Golden Lion
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Golden Star
3:0
May 3, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Golden Star
5:0
Dec 14, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Golden Lion
1:0
May 11, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Golden Lion
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Star 32 / 100
Golden Lion 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Star Golden Lion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Lion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Golden Lion & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Golden Star attacking → ← attacking Golden Lion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Golden Star scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Golden Lion let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Golden Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Golden Lion lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 58
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RC Saint Joseph26215064:1094
2Franciscain26203354:1689
3Golden Lion26154751:2775
4Club Colonial26152944:3073
5Samaritaine26117849:2766
6Club Peleen261141140:4363
7Inter de Sainte-Anne26971033:3160
8Trenelle26710937:4157
9Golden Star26941332:4457
10Morne des Esses26861228:4056
11Espoir26841430:4954
12Aiglon Lamentin26631733:7447
13Robert26551622:4746
14Emulation26261818:5638