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Golden Star vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Golden Star and Samaritaine finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Golden Star
15%
Draws
26%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Golden Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Samaritaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Golden Star's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Golden Star Clean Sheet 19%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Star Samaritaine
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Samaritaine
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Star
5:0
Feb 9, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Samaritaine
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Star
4:2
Apr 6, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Star
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Star 49 / 100
Samaritaine 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Star Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Samaritaine conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Golden Star stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Samaritaine registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Golden Star VS Samaritaine
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Star

(Home)
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
09 May
RC Saint Joseph
1 : 0
Golden Star
25 Apr
Golden Star
0 : 0
Club Peleen
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Samaritaine

(Away)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3
Samaritaine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)