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Golden Star vs Trenelle

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Golden Star and Trenelle finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trenelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Golden Star
20%
Draws
29%
Trenelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Golden Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Golden Star come out ahead of Trenelle on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Golden Star taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Golden Star Clean Sheet 20%
Trenelle Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Star Trenelle
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Trenelle
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Trenelle
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Golden Star
0:1
Jan 29, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Golden Star
2:0
Nov 14, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Trenelle
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Star 85 / 100
Trenelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Star Trenelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trenelle conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Golden Star stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Trenelle has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Golden Star VS Trenelle
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Star

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter de Sainte-Anne
1 : 0
Golden Star
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
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Trenelle

(Away)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Robert
4 : 1
Trenelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)