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Goncalense vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goncalense host Artsul in the Carioca B1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Goncalense have averaged 0.87 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Artsul's 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Goncalense slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.00) point toward Artsul. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Goncalense
35%
Draws
31%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Goncalense haven't matched Artsul's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 20%
Artsul Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Artsul
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Artsul
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
0:0
May 20, 2023 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Goncalense
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
0:0
Jun 5, 2021 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 31 / 100
Artsul 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goncalense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goncalense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Goncalense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Artsul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Artsul
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
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Artsul

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)