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Goncalense vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sassa
45' Event
Aldair

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2025 game between Goncalense and Resende finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Goncalense
20%
Draws
40%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of Goncalense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Goncalense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Goncalense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Resende
1:1
May 25, 2024 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Resende
1:0
Jul 20, 2023 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Resende
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goncalense Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Sassa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 68 / 100
Resende 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goncalense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Resende conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Resende lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Resende
0 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Bonsucesso
1 : 1
Goncalense
25 Oct
Serrano FC
2 : 1
Goncalense
18 Oct
Goncalense
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)