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Gondomar vs AD Marco 09

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Marques J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Gondomar and AD Marco 09 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gondomar
30%
Draws
47%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Marco 09 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 25%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar AD Marco 09
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Gondomar
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs AD Marco 09
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Gondomar
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs AD Marco 09
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gondomar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 33 / 100
AD Marco 09 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Marco 09 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Gondomar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gondomar's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Marco 09
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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AD Marco 09

(Away)
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
16 Aug
Varzim
2 : 1
AD Marco 09
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)