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Gondomar vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Reis S.
90' Event
Barge G.

AI Match Summary

Gondomar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gondomar
35%
Draws
40%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gondomar haven't matched Machico's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 19%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar Machico
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Machico
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Gondomar
3:2
Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Gondomar
2:0
Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Machico
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gondomar Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barge G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Machico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 36 / 100
Machico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Gondomar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gondomar scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Machico conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Machico
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)