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Gondomar vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Gondomar and Santa Cruz Alvarenga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gondomar
22%
Draws
18%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gondomar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Gondomar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gondomar's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Alvarenga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar Santa Cruz Alvarenga
Matches Played 42 26
Wins 15 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Gondomar vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
2:1
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Gondomar
2:2
Feb 5, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santa Cruz Alvarenga vs Gondomar
1:0
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gondomar vs Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 68 / 100
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar Santa Cruz Alvarenga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz Alvarenga let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Santa Cruz Alvarenga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gondomar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gondomar VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%