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Good Luck vs New Club

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2022/2023 game between Good Luck and New Club finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Good Luck
15%
Draws
85%
New Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Club come out ahead of Good Luck on wins alone.
  • Model gives New Club a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • New Club have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Good Luck Clean Sheet 20%
New Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Good Luck New Club
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 25 22
Goals Scored 1.03 1.22
Goals Conceded 3.77 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Club vs Good Luck
4:1
Apr 1, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs New Club
1:6
May 6, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs New Club
2:0
Dec 17, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Club vs Good Luck
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Good Luck 10 / 100
New Club 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Good Luck New Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Club let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Good Luck scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: New Club has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS New Club
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Good Luck

(Home)
13 May
New Club
4 : 1
Good Luck
06 May
Good Luck
0 : 1
Vert Pre
29 Apr
Assaut
3 : 0
Good Luck
22 Apr
Good Luck
0 : 2
Robert
15 Apr
RC Saint Joseph
13 : 0
Good Luck
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New Club

(Away)
17 May
Trenelle
2 : 1
New Club
10 May
New Club
2 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
03 May
Club Peleen
6 : 0
New Club
26 Apr
New Club
2 : 1
Espoir
12 Apr
Golden Lion
3 : 0
New Club
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