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Gori vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Alimbarashvili G.
21' Event
Kepuladze T.
45' Event
Merebashvili D.

AI Match Summary

Gori in this Liga 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Gori
30%
Draws
8%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gori lately — more wins on the board than Borjomi.
  • Model gives Gori a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gori have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gori Clean Sheet 68%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Borjomi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 Liga 3
Gori vs Borjomi
3:1
Apr 3, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Gori
1:2
Aug 29, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Gori
0:1
Mar 7, 2024 Liga 3
Gori vs Borjomi
2:0
Sep 28, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Gori
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Alimbarashvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merebashvili D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Borjomi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kepuladze T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 95 / 100
Borjomi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gori stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Borjomi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)