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Gorilla vs Al Merreikh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

3 - 1
FT
Al Merreikh Logo

Al Merreikh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gorilla and Al Merreikh finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gorilla
15%
Draws
37%
Al Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Merreikh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 20%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Al Merreikh
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Al Merreikh
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Merreikh vs Gorilla
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 32 / 100
Al Merreikh 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Al Merreikh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorilla scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gorilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Merreikh has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Al Merreikh
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

Al Merreikh

(Away)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Al Merreikh
05 Sept
Al Merreikh
1 : 0
Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
27 May
Al Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)