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Gorilla vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorilla in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gorilla
33%
Draws
27%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Musanze lately — more wins on the board than Gorilla.
  • Gorilla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gorilla have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%
Musanze Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Musanze
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Musanze
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Gorilla
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Musanze
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Gorilla
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Musanze
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 50 / 100
Musanze 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Musanze conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gorilla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Musanze
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

Musanze

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)