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Gorilla vs Rutsiro

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

2 - 1
FT
Rutsiro Logo

Rutsiro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gorilla in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gorilla
30%
Draws
23%
Rutsiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rutsiro haven't matched Gorilla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gorilla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Rutsiro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Rutsiro
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Gorilla
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Gorilla
1:0
Dec 29, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Rutsiro
1:2
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Gorilla vs Rutsiro
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 95 / 100
Rutsiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Rutsiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rutsiro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gorilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Rutsiro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
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Rutsiro

(Away)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)