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Gorki vs BumProm Gomel

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Simonchik E.
64' Event
Latyshev Y.
90'
Kovalev D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Gorki and BumProm Gomel finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gorki
20%
Draws
40%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gorki Clean Sheet 14%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs BumProm Gomel
1:1
Jul 11, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
BumProm Gomel vs Gorki
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Latyshev Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonchik E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 31 / 100
BumProm Gomel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki BumProm Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BumProm Gomel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gorki scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

BumProm Gomel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BumProm Gomel
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

BumProm Gomel

(Away)
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
29 Aug
Slutsk
4 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)