Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorki vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Gorki Logo

Gorki

1 - 0
FT
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Logo

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Khaustovich V.
44'
Komlik E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Gorki and SMIavtotrans Smolevichi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gorki
15%
Draws
51%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorki have managed 1.33 goals a game lately — SMIavtotrans Smolevichi are scoring more at 2.1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gorki Clean Sheet 10%
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.33 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi vs Gorki
1:1
Jun 13, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaustovich V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 34 / 100
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMIavtotrans Smolevichi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Gorki scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: SMIavtotrans Smolevichi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorki VS SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

SMIavtotrans Smolevichi

(Away)
24 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
4 : 3
Ivatsevichi
17 Oct
Ivatsevichi
6 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
10 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
2 : 6
ML Vitebsk
03 Oct
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
1 : 3
Osipovichi
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)