Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorleston vs Leiston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
81' Event
82' Event

AI Match Summary

Leiston in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gorleston
15%
Draws
42%
Leiston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Gorleston haven't matched Leiston's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gorleston Clean Sheet 10%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorleston Leiston
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.05 2.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorleston vs Leiston
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorleston 29 / 100
Leiston 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorleston Leiston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Leiston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Leiston's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gorleston's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gorleston VS Leiston
2.6 Goals Scored 2
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorleston

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorleston
3 : 4
Bury Town
12 Sept
Newmarket
5 : 2
Gorleston
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
29 Aug
Stotfold
0 : 3
Gorleston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
Page 1 of 5

Leiston

(Away)
03 Oct
Leiston
3 : 1
Coventry United
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leiston
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3
Dartford
22 Sept
Leiston
0 : 2
Peterborough Sports
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2
Leiston
Page 1 of 6