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Gorleston vs Leiston

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
81' Event
82' Event

AI Match Summary

Leiston in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Gorleston
20%
Draws
63%
Leiston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leiston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Gorleston haven't matched Leiston's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leiston a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gorleston Clean Sheet 10%
Leiston Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorleston Leiston
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 1 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Gorleston vs Leiston
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorleston 10 / 100
Leiston 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorleston Leiston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Leiston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Gorleston's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gorleston stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorleston VS Leiston
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorleston

(Home)
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
13 Sept
Waltham Abbey
2 : 0
Gorleston
30 Aug
March Town
1 : 3
Gorleston
05 Jul
Gorleston
0 : 3
Hornchurch
12 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 0
Gorleston
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Leiston

(Away)
11 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1
Stortford
08 Aug
Anstey Nomads
1 : 1
Leiston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4
Leiston
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1
Leiston
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