Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium

Chernomorets 1919

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gorna host Chernomorets 1919 in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chernomorets 1919 have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Gorna have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Gorna have won 2 to Chernomorets 1919's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.56) back Chernomorets 1919 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Gorna

Draws

Chernomorets 1919

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Chernomorets 1919 carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Gorna's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Gorna Clean Sheet 15%

Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gorna	Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	6	10
Draws	6	9
Losses	16	9
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Vtora liga

Chernomorets 1919 vs Gorna

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Aug 23, 2025 Vtora liga

Gorna vs Chernomorets 1919

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Apr 9, 2015 Vtora liga

Chernomorets 1919 vs Gorna

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Sep 13, 2014 Vtora liga

Gorna vs Chernomorets 1919

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Mar 20, 2005 Vtora liga

Chernomorets 1919 vs Gorna

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 84 / 100

Chernomorets 1919 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gorna Chernomorets 1919

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Gorna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Chernomorets 1919 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gorna scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Chernomorets 1919

0.88 Goals Scored 1

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	Beroe	0:0
2	Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0
3	Marek	0:0
4	Vihren	0:0
5	Nesebar	0:0
6	Etar	0:0
7	Montana	0:0
8	Rilski Sportist	0:0
9	Spartak Pleven	0:0
10	Svoge	0:0
11	Yantra Gabrovo	0:0
12	Dobrudzha	0:0
13	Hebar	0:0
14	Gorna	0:0
15	CSKA Sofia II	0:0
16	Ludogorets II	0:0
17	Chernomorets 1919	0:0
18	Fratria	0:0