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Gorna vs Chernomorets 1919 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
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Match Events

19'
Sub
Ivanov M. In: Romanyuk E.
Out: Ivanov M.
27'
Darame J.
35'
Ivanov Z.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Gorna and Chernomorets 1919 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gorna
30%
Draws
44%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets 1919's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gorna Clean Sheet 18%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Chernomorets 1919
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Gorna
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Chernomorets 1919
0:0
Apr 9, 2015 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Gorna
1:3
Sep 13, 2014 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Chernomorets 1919
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Georgiev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 12 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gorna scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Chernomorets 1919 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Chernomorets 1919
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)