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Gorna vs CSKA Sofia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
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Match Events

33' Event
Papazov M.
46'
Sub
Tunchev A. In: Ivanov L.
Out: Tunchev A.
56'
Sub
Simons De Fanti E. In: Hristov K.
Out: Simons De Fanti E.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia II in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gorna
30%
Draws
40%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia II lately — more wins on the board than Gorna.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Sofia II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gorna Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs CSKA Sofia II
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Gorna
1:1
May 11, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Gorna
2:4
Nov 17, 2024 Vtora liga
Gorna vs CSKA Sofia II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Papazov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sorakov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 19 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gorna found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia II conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS CSKA Sofia II
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
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CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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