Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Dobrudzha

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ivanov Z.
39'
Sub
Fall Ndour M. In: Hristov H.
Out: Fall Ndour M.
62'
Sub
Mauro Ribeiro In: Rangelov B.
Out: Mauro Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

Gorna in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gorna
35%
Draws
13%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorna lately — more wins on the board than Dobrudzha.
  • Gorna are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gorna Clean Sheet 68%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Dobrudzha
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.89 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Dobrudzha
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Dobrudzha
3:2
Oct 25, 2024 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Gorna
1:0
Mar 5, 2021 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Dobrudzha
1:1
Aug 23, 2020 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Gorna
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paskov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dobrudzha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 68 / 100
Dobrudzha 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dobrudzha conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Gorna scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Gorna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Dobrudzha
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

Dobrudzha

(Away)
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
29 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0
Rilski Sportist
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)