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Gorna vs Pirin Blagoevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorna host Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Vtora liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Gorna at 0.93 goals for, 1.47 against; Pirin Blagoevgrad at 0.74 for, 2.04 against. Head-to-head, Gorna have won 1 to Pirin Blagoevgrad's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.63, favoring Gorna. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gorna
30%
Draws
18%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gorna Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.93 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Gorna
0:1
Apr 4, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Gorna
2:0
Mar 22, 2021 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Gorna
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 85 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pirin Blagoevgrad conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Gorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gorna's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
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Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)