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Gorna vs Sitomir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014 Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Gorna Logo

Gorna

2 - 0
FT
Sitomir Logo

Sitomir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gorna in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gorna
30%
Draws
0%
Sitomir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorna lately — more wins on the board than Sitomir.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Gorna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gorna Clean Sheet 16%
Sitomir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Sitomir
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 0.97 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Sitomir
2:0
Sep 15, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Gorna
0:5
Apr 14, 2013 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Gorna
1:3
Sep 16, 2012 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Sitomir
0:0
Jun 3, 2012 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Gorna
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 84 / 100
Sitomir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Sitomir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sitomir conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Gorna has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sitomir lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
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Sitomir

(Away)
31 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
23 May
Juventus Malchika
3 : 0
Sitomir
17 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Spartak Pleven
13 May
Bdin Vidin
3 : 0
Sitomir
10 May
Parva Atomna
3 : 0
Sitomir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
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