Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gornik Konin vs Jarocin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Skokowski P.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Golak S.
33' Event
Lazewski M.

AI Match Summary

Jarocin in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gornik Konin
15%
Draws
64%
Jarocin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gornik Konin haven't matched Jarocin's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Jarocin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Konin Jarocin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Jarocin
1:6
Oct 31, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Jarocin
1:9
Apr 18, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Jarocin
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Gornik Konin
1:2
Jun 8, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Jarocin
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Wierzba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Golak S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bartoszak K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Konin 22 / 100
Jarocin 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Konin Jarocin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gornik Konin scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Gornik Konin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Konin VS Jarocin
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Konin

(Home)
31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2
Gornik Konin
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
26 Feb
Gornik Konin
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Jun
Gornik Konin
4 : 0
KS Mieszko Gniezno
16 Jun
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 1
Gornik Konin
Page 1 of 6

Jarocin

(Away)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7